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The Yield Curve Predicts S&P 500 Performance |
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This chart shows the S&P 500 annual % change compared to the spread between the 10-year and 3-month Treasury (Yield Curve) using standard deviation and a 6-month moving average. The yield curve leads the S&P by roughly 24 months and has been shifted backwards by that amount to illustrate how closely the two indicators track together. |
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| Sources: | Yahoo Finance, Federal Reserve |
| Updated: | 3 weeks ago |
| Series: | s&p 500 historical returns - economic indicators |
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